Jalen Hurts top player props for Super Bowl 57

The NFL Playoffs are now down to two teams and we’ll continue to get you ready with all the betting content you need as we begin our final march toward Super Bowl 57. We covered this year’s likely MVP Patrick Mahomes, so now is the time to look at his adversary under center, Jalen Hurts.

If you missed our earlier coverage, we’ve gone over the different ways you can bet on the Super Bowl and how previous Super Bowl trends could help you hit on your bets for this year. Make sure to go ahead and check those out.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: PHI (-125) KC (+105)
Spread: Eagles +1.5 (-110)
Total: 50.5 (-110)
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Top Player Props for Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts UNDER 31.5 pass attempts

Let’s just start by saying that I think Hurts still dealing with a right shoulder injury. The Eagles haven’t had him sling it as much in the last two games, but, of course, they also haven’t needed to. Given the success Philadelphia has had on the ground in the playoffs, I’m not sure why they would try to change things up now.

I think the Eagles will look to control the clock and keep the ball out of Patrick Mahomes’ hands. That will mean attacking a Chiefs defense that was 18th in yards allowed per carry and 22nd in Expected Points Added (EPA) by their run defense. Since Hurts has also gone UNDER 31.5 pass attempts in nine out of 15 regular season games, I’m comfortable betting the under here too.

WHERE TO BET THIS PROP: DraftKings (-105)

We can also double up on the above bet and play the UNDER in Hurts’ passing yards due to the same rationale about Philadelphia leaning on its ground game.

In fact, that was true for much of the season as Hurts went OVER this total in just five games. Those games were also against the Bears, Titans, Steelers, Vikings, and Commanders, who were all in the bottom third in pass defense.

The Chiefs’ pass defense isn’t great, but it’s better than those teams above. Kansas City ranked 16th in EPA added per dropback and 12th in dropback success rate, so I think the Eagles will be inclined to stick to the ground. The only wrinkle is the health of L’Jarius Snead, who is the Chiefs’ best corner and one of the best corners on deep passes in the league. If he can’t clear concussion protocol then these odds will change so maybe wait it out.

WHERE TO BET THIS PROP: Caesars (-117)

If Hurts is going to run then it’s not a bad guess to think he’ll run in the red zone as well. The Chiefs allowed the fifth-most rushing yards to quarterbacks during the regular season and also ranked second-worst in the league in red zone defense, which should mean that Hurts can find some goal-line success when the Eagles get inside the 20. Hurts has a touchdown in five of his last six games, so let’s make it six of seven.

WHERE TO BET THIS PROP: Caesars (+110)